Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Avalanche 3
Monday, January 12, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Avalanche
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 36 | 47 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 44 | 44 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 75% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 90% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Vancouver Canucks
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ New York Islanders
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs New Jersey Devils
Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Detroit Red Wings
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Dallas Stars
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Avalanche
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Ottawa Senators
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Florida Panthers
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Los Angeles Kings
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Utah Mammoth
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Minnesota Wild
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1