Final Score: Avalanche 2 - Lightning 4
Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Avalanche @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Avalanche | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 31 | 28 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Avalanche | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 41 | 41 |
| Avg goals scored | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| Win percentage | 76% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 64% | 55% |
Recent Results
Avalanche
@ Florida Panthers
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Los Angeles Kings
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Utah Mammoth
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Minnesota Wild
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Winnipeg Jets
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Nashville Predators
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Lightning
@ San Jose Sharks
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Los Angeles Kings
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Los Angeles Kings
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Florida Panthers
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ New York Islanders
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3