Final Score: Lightning 4 - Ducks 3
Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at 4:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Ducks
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 26 | 20 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Lightning | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 38 | 39 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 61% | 63% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Los Angeles Kings
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Florida Panthers
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ New York Islanders
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Montreal Canadiens
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
Ducks
vs San Jose Sharks
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Los Angeles Kings
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Seattle Kraken
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Dallas Stars
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Rangers
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ New Jersey Devils
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ New York Islanders
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3