Final Score: Panthers 5 - Lightning 2
Monday, December 15, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Panthers @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Panthers
16-15 Rating 1551
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2
Lightning
18-14 Rating 1531
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Panthers Lightning
All-time wins 89 83
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.1 2.9
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Panthers Lightning
Games played 31 32
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.2
Avg goals conceded 3.2 2.6
Win percentage 52% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 53%