Final Score: Lightning 6 - Red Wings 3
Friday, November 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Red Wings
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 48 | 46 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Lightning | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 23 | 24 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 57% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs Calgary Flames
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Vancouver Canucks
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Florida Panthers
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs New York Rangers
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
Red Wings
vs Nashville Predators
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ New Jersey Devils
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New York Islanders
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Seattle Kraken
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ New York Rangers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Buffalo Sabres
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Anaheim Ducks
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs New York Rangers
Nov 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4