Final Score: Oilers 1 - Lightning 2
Thursday, November 20, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET

Oilers @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Oilers
9-13 Rating 1535
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3
Lightning
10-9 Rating 1524
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Oilers Lightning
All-time wins 24 22
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 3.0
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Oilers Lightning
Games played 22 19
Avg goals scored 3.0 3.1
Avg goals conceded 3.7 2.9
Win percentage 41% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 50%