Final Score: Lightning 6 - Golden Knights 3
Thursday, November 6, 2025 at 10:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Golden Knights

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
6-7 Rating 1517
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Vegas Golden Knights +0.7
Golden Knights
7-5 Rating 1541
Form: LLWLW
Golden Knights

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Golden Knights
All-time wins 7 8
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.1 3.3
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Golden Knights
Games played 13 12
Avg goals scored 2.8 3.3
Avg goals conceded 2.8 2.7
Win percentage 46% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 67%