Final Score: Lightning 2 - Avalanche 3
Tuesday, November 4, 2025 at 9:30 PM ET
Lightning @ Avalanche
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 28 | 30 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 2 |
| Stat | Lightning | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 12 | 13 |
| Avg goals scored | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 60% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Utah Mammoth
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Dallas Stars
Oct 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Nashville Predators
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Anaheim Ducks
Oct 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Oct 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Detroit Red Wings
Oct 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Washington Capitals
Oct 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Boston Bruins
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Avalanche
@ San Jose Sharks
Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Oct 31, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs New Jersey Devils
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ New Jersey Devils
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Boston Bruins
Oct 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Utah Mammoth
Oct 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Boston Bruins
Oct 18, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Oct 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Buffalo Sabres
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1