Final Score: Lightning 1 - Red Wings 2
Friday, October 17, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Red Wings
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 48 | 45 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Lightning | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 4 | 4 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 4.0 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 75% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 67% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Washington Capitals
Oct 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Boston Bruins
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New Jersey Devils
Oct 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Ottawa Senators
Oct 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 24, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 22, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Rangers
Apr 17, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
Red Wings
vs Florida Panthers
Oct 15, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Oct 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Oct 9, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New Jersey Devils
Apr 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Dallas Stars
Apr 14, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 10, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Montreal Canadiens
Apr 8, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4