Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Red Wings 6
Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Red Wings

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
1-0 Rating 1561
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1
Red Wings
0-1 Rating 1490
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Red Wings
All-time wins 139 123
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.5 3.3
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Red Wings
Games played 1 1
Avg goals scored 5.0 1.0
Avg goals conceded 2.0 5.0
Win percentage 100% 0%
Away win % / Home win % - 0%