Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Senators 2
Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Senators
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 87 | 86 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 4 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 87 | 87 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 65% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Ottawa Senators
Apr 29, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Ottawa Senators
Apr 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Ottawa Senators
Apr 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 17, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Buffalo Sabres
Apr 15, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Apr 13, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Montreal Canadiens
Apr 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Senators
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 29, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Apr 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Apr 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Apr 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 8, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5