Final Score: Flames 1 - Lightning 5
Wednesday, November 26, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Flames @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Flames | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 23 | 30 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 3 |
| Stat | Flames | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 24 | 22 |
| Avg goals scored | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 29% | 58% |
Recent Results
Flames
@ Vancouver Canucks
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Dallas Stars
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Buffalo Sabres
Nov 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs San Jose Sharks
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ St. Louis Blues
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Minnesota Wild
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Nov 7, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
Lightning
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Vancouver Canucks
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Florida Panthers
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs New York Rangers
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Colorado Avalanche
Nov 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3