Final Score: Hurricanes 4 - Lightning 6
Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Hurricanes @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Hurricanes
22-12 Rating 1561
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1
Lightning
18-16 Rating 1523
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Hurricanes Lightning
All-time wins 65 77
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.7 3.0
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Hurricanes Lightning
Games played 34 34
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.1
Avg goals conceded 2.8 2.6
Win percentage 65% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 65% 47%