Final Score: Maple Leafs 5 - Hurricanes 1
Thursday, December 4, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Hurricanes
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Carolina Hurricanes +0.6
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 55 | 77 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 5 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 26 | 25 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 64% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 67% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Boston Bruins
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
Hurricanes
vs Calgary Flames
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Winnipeg Jets
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs New York Rangers
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Buffalo Sabres
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Winnipeg Jets
Nov 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Minnesota Wild
Nov 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Boston Bruins
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Vancouver Canucks
Nov 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4