Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Canadiens 5
Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Canadiens
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 112 | 142 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 2 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 21 | 20 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 17% | 45% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Boston Bruins
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Boston Bruins
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Utah Mammoth
Nov 5, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Canadiens
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Boston Bruins
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Dallas Stars
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Utah Mammoth
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ New Jersey Devils
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Ottawa Senators
Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Seattle Kraken
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3