Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Blackhawks 3
Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Blackhawks
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
65%
35%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 95 | 132 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 2 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 18 | 17 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.8 | 2.6 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 20% | 43% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Boston Bruins
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Boston Bruins
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Utah Mammoth
Nov 5, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Oct 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Calgary Flames
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Buffalo Sabres
Oct 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Blackhawks
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Detroit Red Wings
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Calgary Flames
Nov 7, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Vancouver Canucks
Nov 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Nov 3, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Edmonton Oilers
Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Winnipeg Jets
Oct 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Ottawa Senators
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2