Final Score: Penguins 3 - Maple Leafs 4
Monday, November 3, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET

Penguins @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Penguins
8-5 Rating 1486
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +1.0
Maple Leafs
6-6 Rating 1548
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Maple Leafs
All-time wins 96 99
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.4 3.4
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Maple Leafs
Games played 13 12
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.6
Avg goals conceded 2.8 3.7
Win percentage 62% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 62%