Final Score: Capitals 3 - Penguins 5
Thursday, November 6, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET

Capitals @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Capitals
7-6 Rating 1523
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Penguins +0.1
Penguins
8-6 Rating 1483
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Capitals Penguins
All-time wins 138 165
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.4 3.5
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Capitals Penguins
Games played 13 14
Avg goals scored 2.8 3.5
Avg goals conceded 2.3 2.9
Win percentage 54% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 60%