Final Score: Senators 7 - Capitals 1
Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Senators @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Senators
3-5 Rating 1504
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Washington Capitals +0.7
Capitals
6-2 Rating 1537
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Senators Capitals
All-time wins 48 62
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 3.2
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Senators Capitals
Games played 8 8
Avg goals scored 3.0 3.2
Avg goals conceded 4.2 1.8
Win percentage 38% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 60%