Final Score: Canadiens 2 - Maple Leafs 1
Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Canadiens @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Canadiens | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 143 | 112 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 2 |
| Stat | Canadiens | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 26 | 27 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 58% | 53% |
Recent Results
Canadiens
vs Winnipeg Jets
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Ottawa Senators
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Colorado Avalanche
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Utah Mammoth
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Boston Bruins
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Dallas Stars
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
Maple Leafs
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4