Final Score: Maple Leafs 7 - Penguins 2
Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Penguins
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 100 | 96 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 24 | 23 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.6 | 2.7 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 22% | 55% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Boston Bruins
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Boston Bruins
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
Penguins
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Buffalo Sabres
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Minnesota Wild
Nov 21, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Nashville Predators
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Nashville Predators
Nov 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4