Final Score: Penguins 3 - Maple Leafs 6
Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 4:00 PM ET
Penguins @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Penguins | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 96 | 101 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 7 |
| Stat | Penguins | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 35 | 35 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 43% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 50% |
Recent Results
Penguins
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Montreal Canadiens
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Ottawa Senators
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Edmonton Oilers
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Utah Mammoth
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs San Jose Sharks
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Anaheim Ducks
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Dallas Stars
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Maple Leafs
@ Dallas Stars
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Nashville Predators
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Washington Capitals
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Edmonton Oilers
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs San Jose Sharks
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1