Final Score: Maple Leafs 0 - Capitals 4
Thursday, December 18, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Capitals
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 74 | 84 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 4 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 32 | 33 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 59% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Edmonton Oilers
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs San Jose Sharks
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Capitals
@ Minnesota Wild
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Winnipeg Jets
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ San Jose Sharks
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Los Angeles Kings
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ New York Islanders
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Winnipeg Jets
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3