Final Score: Blackhawks 2 - Maple Leafs 3
Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Blackhawks @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +1.6
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blackhawks | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 133 | 95 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Blackhawks | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 32 | 31 |
| Avg goals scored | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 47% |
Recent Results
Blackhawks
vs Detroit Red Wings
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ St. Louis Blues
Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs New York Rangers
Dec 10, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Los Angeles Kings
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Los Angeles Kings
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Anaheim Ducks
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Nashville Predators
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
Maple Leafs
vs Edmonton Oilers
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs San Jose Sharks
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5