Final Score: Senators 5 - Maple Leafs 7
Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Senators @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Senators | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 86 | 88 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 4 |
| Stat | Senators | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 36 | 36 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 52% |
Recent Results
Senators
vs Buffalo Sabres
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Boston Bruins
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Winnipeg Jets
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Minnesota Wild
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs New Jersey Devils
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs St. Louis Blues
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New York Rangers
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
Maple Leafs
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Dallas Stars
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Nashville Predators
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Washington Capitals
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Edmonton Oilers
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs San Jose Sharks
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1