Final Score: Maple Leafs 1 - Stars 5
Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Stars
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 143 | 115 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 34 | 36 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 65% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Nashville Predators
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Washington Capitals
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Edmonton Oilers
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs San Jose Sharks
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
Stars
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ San Jose Sharks
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Florida Panthers
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Minnesota Wild
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Winnipeg Jets
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs San Jose Sharks
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ New Jersey Devils
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ New York Rangers
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3