Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Islanders 4
Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Islanders
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 88 | 93 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 40 | 41 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 31% | 55% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs New Jersey Devils
Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Detroit Red Wings
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Dallas Stars
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Nashville Predators
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Washington Capitals
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Edmonton Oilers
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
Islanders
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs New York Rangers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs New Jersey Devils
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Buffalo Sabres
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Vancouver Canucks
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Detroit Red Wings
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Anaheim Ducks
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2