Final Score: Avalanche 4 - Maple Leafs 1
Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET
Avalanche @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Avalanche | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 47 | 37 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Avalanche | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 49 | 51 |
| Avg goals scored | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 69% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 61% | 55% |
Recent Results
Avalanche
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Anaheim Ducks
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Nashville Predators
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Ottawa Senators
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Florida Panthers
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Maple Leafs
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Winnipeg Jets
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Colorado Avalanche
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Vancouver Canucks
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1