Final Score: Avalanche 2 - Senators 5
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Avalanche @ Senators
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Avalanche | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 39 | 19 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average goals | 4.2 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 2 |
| Stat | Avalanche | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 50 | 52 |
| Avg goals scored | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 46% |
Recent Results
Avalanche
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Anaheim Ducks
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Nashville Predators
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Ottawa Senators
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Florida Panthers
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
Senators
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Nashville Predators
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Detroit Red Wings
Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ New York Rangers
Jan 14, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Vancouver Canucks
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Colorado Avalanche
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8