Final Score: Red Wings 2 - Maple Leafs 1
Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Red Wings @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Wings | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 126 | 139 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Red Wings | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 50 | 49 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 59% |
Recent Results
Red Wings
vs Ottawa Senators
Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Boston Bruins
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Montreal Canadiens
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Vancouver Canucks
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Ottawa Senators
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Winnipeg Jets
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Maple Leafs
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Winnipeg Jets
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Colorado Avalanche
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Vancouver Canucks
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ New York Islanders
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5