Final Score: Red Wings 5 - Senators 3
Monday, January 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Red Wings @ Senators
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Wings | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 35 | 33 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Red Wings | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 43 | 40 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 50% |
Recent Results
Red Wings
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Winnipeg Jets
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Dallas Stars
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Washington Capitals
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Washington Capitals
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Utah Mammoth
Dec 17, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs New York Islanders
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Senators
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Buffalo Sabres
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Boston Bruins
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Winnipeg Jets
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Minnesota Wild
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3