Final Score: Capitals 3 - Senators 4
Thursday, January 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Capitals @ Senators
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Capitals | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 62 | 49 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 7 |
| Stat | Capitals | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 40 | 38 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 44% |
Recent Results
Capitals
vs New York Rangers
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ New Jersey Devils
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New York Rangers
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Detroit Red Wings
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Detroit Red Wings
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Minnesota Wild
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Winnipeg Jets
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
Senators
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Buffalo Sabres
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Boston Bruins
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Winnipeg Jets
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Minnesota Wild
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs New Jersey Devils
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4