Final Score: Panthers 1 - Lightning 6
Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Panthers @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Panthers | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 90 | 84 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 4 |
| Stat | Panthers | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 56 | 54 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 65% |
Recent Results
Panthers
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Minnesota Wild
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Winnipeg Jets
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Washington Capitals
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Lightning
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Dallas Stars
Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1