Final Score: Lightning 4 - Stars 1
Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Stars
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 32 | 32 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Lightning | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 46 | 48 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 68% | 57% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ San Jose Sharks
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Los Angeles Kings
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Stars
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Anaheim Ducks
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Los Angeles Kings
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ San Jose Sharks
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Washington Capitals
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Buffalo Sabres
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4