Final Score: Sharks 1 - Lightning 4
Tuesday, January 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Sharks @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Sharks
25-23 Rating 1442
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
30%
70%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.6
Lightning
30-17 Rating 1561
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Sharks Lightning
All-time wins 22 29
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.9 3.3
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Sharks Lightning
Games played 48 47
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.5
Avg goals conceded 3.5 2.6
Win percentage 52% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 57%