Final Score: Jets 1 - Lightning 4
Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Jets @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Jets | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 51 | 53 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Jets | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 52 | 51 |
| Avg goals scored | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 65% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 61% |
Recent Results
Jets
@ New Jersey Devils
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Minnesota Wild
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs New York Islanders
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New Jersey Devils
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
Lightning
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Dallas Stars
Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2