Final Score: Sabres 3 - Lightning 4
Tuesday, February 3, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Sabres @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Sabres | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 62 | 53 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 7 |
| Stat | Sabres | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 55 | 53 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 66% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 64% |
Recent Results
Sabres
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Los Angeles Kings
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ New York Islanders
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Montreal Canadiens
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Nashville Predators
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Lightning
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Dallas Stars
Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1