Final Score: Penguins 5 - Sabres 2
Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Penguins @ Sabres
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Penguins | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 110 | 80 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Penguins | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 55 | 56 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 63% |
Recent Results
Penguins
@ New York Islanders
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs New York Rangers
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Edmonton Oilers
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Calgary Flames
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Seattle Kraken
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
Sabres
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Los Angeles Kings
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ New York Islanders
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Montreal Canadiens
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Nashville Predators
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5