Final Score: Penguins 4 - Flames 1
Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
Penguins @ Flames
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Penguins | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 51 | 50 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Penguins | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 48 | 49 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 43% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 57% |
Recent Results
Penguins
@ Seattle Kraken
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Boston Bruins
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Calgary Flames
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New Jersey Devils
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Detroit Red Wings
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Flames
vs New Jersey Devils
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New York Islanders
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Boston Bruins
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Montreal Canadiens
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Seattle Kraken
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Nashville Predators
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1