Final Score: Senators 3 - Penguins 2
Monday, February 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Senators @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Senators
26-28 Rating 1501
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Penguins +0.4
Penguins
28-25 Rating 1494
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Senators Penguins
All-time wins 57 79
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.8 3.3
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Senators Penguins
Games played 54 53
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.4
Avg goals conceded 3.3 3.0
Win percentage 48% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 48%