Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Devils 4
Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Devils
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Devils |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 90 | 62 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 0 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 61 | 61 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 39% | 48% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Edmonton Oilers
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Calgary Flames
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Devils
vs Florida Panthers
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ St. Louis Blues
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New York Islanders
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Ottawa Senators
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Nashville Predators
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Seattle Kraken
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4