Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Sabres 3
Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Sabres
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 93 | 129 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 7 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 66 | 66 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 35% | 64% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Anaheim Ducks
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Montreal Canadiens
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ New York Rangers
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New Jersey Devils
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Edmonton Oilers
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Sabres
vs Washington Capitals
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs San Jose Sharks
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New Jersey Devils
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5