Final Score: Islanders 3 - Maple Leafs 1
Tuesday, March 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Islanders @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Islanders | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 94 | 88 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Islanders | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 67 | 68 |
| Avg goals scored | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 43% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 49% |
Recent Results
Islanders
vs Calgary Flames
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Kings
Mar 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ St. Louis Blues
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ San Jose Sharks
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Los Angeles Kings
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Anaheim Ducks
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Florida Panthers
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Montreal Canadiens
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
Maple Leafs
@ Minnesota Wild
Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Anaheim Ducks
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Montreal Canadiens
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ New York Rangers
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New Jersey Devils
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5