Final Score: Hurricanes 4 - Maple Leafs 3
Friday, March 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Hurricanes @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Carolina Hurricanes +0.2
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Hurricanes | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 77 | 56 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 5 |
| Stat | Hurricanes | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 68 | 69 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 47% |
Recent Results
Hurricanes
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Seattle Kraken
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Maple Leafs
vs New York Islanders
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Minnesota Wild
Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Anaheim Ducks
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Montreal Canadiens
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ New York Rangers
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New Jersey Devils
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5