Lightning @ Golden Knights

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 6 - Golden Knights 2
Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
6-2 Rating 1550
Form: WWLWW
6 – 2
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Vegas Golden Knights +0.4
Vegas
Golden Knights
8-2 Rating 1543
Form: WLWWW
Golden Knights

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Golden Knights
All-time wins 8 8
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.3 3.3
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Golden Knights
Games played 8 10
Avg goals scored 3.1 4.2
Avg goals conceded 2.6 2.4
Win percentage 75% 80%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 83%