Maple Leafs @ Golden Knights

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Golden Knights 4
Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Toronto
Maple Leafs
2-2 Rating 1474
Form: LLWLW
3 – 4
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Vegas Golden Knights +0.9
Vegas
Golden Knights
3-1 Rating 1531
Form: LWLWW
Golden Knights

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Golden Knights
All-time wins 8 8
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.4 3.4
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Golden Knights
Games played 4 4
Avg goals scored 2.8 4.2
Avg goals conceded 2.8 2.5
Win percentage 50% 75%
Away win % / Home win % - 50%