Islanders @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Islanders 1 - Maple Leafs 2
Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
New York
Islanders
0-0 Rating 1497
Form: LWLLL
1 – 2
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.2
Toronto
Maple Leafs
0-1 Rating 1470
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Islanders Maple Leafs
All-time wins 96 88
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.4 3.1
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Islanders Maple Leafs
Games played 0 1
Avg goals scored - 2.0
Avg goals conceded - 3.0
Win percentage - 0%
Away win % / Home win % - 0%