Final Score: Stars 6 - Maple Leafs 5
Monday, April 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Stars @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Stars
48-32 Rating 1556
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Dallas Stars +0.2
Maple Leafs
32-48 Rating 1473
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Stars Maple Leafs
All-time wins 116 143
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.3 3.5
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Stars Maple Leafs
Games played 80 80
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.1
Avg goals conceded 2.7 3.6
Win percentage 60% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 45%