Maple Leafs @ Avalanche

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Maple Leafs 6 - Avalanche 3
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Toronto
Maple Leafs
2-3 Rating 1471
Form: LWLWL
6 – 3
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Colorado Avalanche +1.5
Colorado
Avalanche
3-1 Rating 1570
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Avalanche
All-time wins 37 48
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.3 3.6
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Avalanche
Games played 5 4
Avg goals scored 2.8 5.8
Avg goals conceded 3.0 2.8
Win percentage 40% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%