Red Wings @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Red Wings 2 - Lightning 4
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Detroit
Red Wings
7-8 Rating 1486
Form: LWWLW
2 – 4
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.0
Tampa Bay
Lightning
8-5 Rating 1544
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Wings Lightning
All-time wins 46 51
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.0 2.9
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Wings Lightning
Games played 15 13
Avg goals scored 3.1 3.7
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.3
Win percentage 47% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%